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    Trump threatens increased tariffs unless India meets his expectations.

    Trump threatens increased tariffs unless India meets his expectations.

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    Trump Warns of Higher Tariffs on India Over Russian Oil Purchases

    The Context: Trump’s Demand for Compliance

    US President Donald Trump has recently expressed satisfaction with India’s efforts to meet his demands regarding the purchase of Russian oil. He warned that if these efforts do not continue, he would impose even higher tariffs on India “very quickly.”

    Trump’s Remarks on Air Force One

    During a conversation with reporters on Air Force One, Trump stated, “They (India) wanted to make me happy… Modi is a good guy… he knew I was unhappy… and it was important to make me happy.” His comments came as Senator Lindsey Graham discussed the effectiveness of tariffs in compelling nations to cease buying Russian oil.

    Lindsey Graham’s Insights

    Senator Graham shared a recent conversation with Indian Ambassador Vinay Kwatra, who expressed concern about India’s oil purchases from Russia. Graham noted, “All he (the ambassador) wanted to talk about was how India is buying less Russian oil.” He believes that pressure from the US, including the possibility of tariffs, has led to a significant reduction in India’s Russian oil imports.

    Sanctioning Russia Act of 2025

    Graham is also championing the Sanctioning Russia Act of 2025, a bill aimed at striking at Russia’s economic resources to expedite an end to the ongoing conflict in Ukraine. The legislation grants the President the authority to impose secondary tariffs of up to 500% on imported goods, offering better negotiating capabilities against nations that continue to import Russian oil.

    The Implications of the Bill

    This act includes a waiver provision allowing the President to decide whether to implement the tariffs, shifting control from Congress to the Executive branch. Graham has identified China, India, and Brazil as primary targets for these tariffs, as they constitute about 70% of Russia’s oil exports.

    Status of Current Tariffs

    As of now, the specifics surrounding the already implemented 25% tariffs on India remain uncertain. Trump’s comments suggest that India’s compliance might potentially relax these tariffs, although the US administration appears ready to maintain them until further judicial clarity is achieved regarding current tariff regulations.

    Industry Impact and Future Projections

    Recent industry estimates indicate that Russian oil imports to India dropped significantly, with figures from December showing a three-year low of around 1.2 million barrels per day. With ongoing negotiations and new disclosure requirements for refiners regarding oil purchases, the Indian government aims to navigate its trade relationship with the Trump administration cautiously.


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